Olam’s shares will remain volatile, an analyst says; “this is a kind of exceptional situation, so the stock will be volatile. Not just over a couple of days, but over a couple of months.”
He adds the market is waiting for Olam’s promised next report on issues raised in Muddy Waters’ report; “once that comes out, we’d have the final, full response.”
He notes the stock is declining despite filings showing a couple of directors bought shares Thursday. “If insiders buy back shares, that’s positive,” he says, adding “if they can continue doing that, that would be a good thing.”
But the analyst also notes Olam had said it “stood ready” for buybacks; “maybe people are questioning why they aren’t buying back shares or bonds.” “Now that the Muddy Waters report is out, are they going to follow through on that?” he asks, noting Olam previously bought back shares around $1.80.
“The logic shouldn’t be different. Muddy Waters isn’t going to call the tune for them,” he says; “now is a more effective time to do that.” Meanwhile, further comments from Muddy Waters could also subject the stock to more volatility. If Muddy Waters issues a fresh report, “depending on how material it all is, Olam may not do anymore,” the analyst says, noting management has said it doesn’t want a “tit-for-tat” distraction.
The stock is flat at $1.56.
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